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February 23, 2009
Posted: 1126 GMT
LONDON, England - The envelopes have been opened, the statuettes collected and the limos departed.
The biggest shock at this year's Oscars is that low budget, no-star 'Slumdog Millionaire' was even a contender in the first place.
Now all that's left for this year's Oscars is to sift through the results and fathom out what happened - and why. Oscar results are usually analyzed in terms of expectations and shocks - which winners succeeded and failed to satisfy the pundit's predictions (as I attempted to do a few weeks back – how did your predictions go?). But 2009 was a year largely devoid of shocks. Heath Ledger ("The Dark Knight"), Kate Winslet ("The Reader") and Penelope Cruz ("Vicky Cristiana Barcelona") all won in their respective categories as predicted. Likewise, "Slumdog Millionaire" took Best Picture and Best Director (I foolishly suggested "The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button" might nab one of these). Many commentators have hailed Sean Penn's Best Actor prize for "Milk," for which he beat out favorite Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler") as a shock. Not so. There's two types of shocks in the Oscars - unexpected shocks and predicted shocks. Unexpected shocks are few and far between - say "Brokeback Mountain" losing out on Best Picture to "Crash" in 2006. It just happens: sometimes the awards season goes on for so long that the front runner simply gets overhauled. Or, Academy voters maybe say to themselves: You know what, we're not going to vote the way everyone reckons we are. Penn's win, on the other hand, is a predicted shock. Penn won the same Oscar in 2004 for "Mystic River." Every awards body has its own tastes. It's not that the Academy does not like Mickey - they just prefer Sean. No, this season's biggest shock has been a slow-burn unexpected shock, one that's been so long coming that it's almost failed to register. "Slumdog Millionaire." The Oscar success of Danny Boyle's Mumbai-set film has been hailed as a sure bet these past few weeks - "Slumdunk Millionaire," if you will. But its victories were never certain. The shock is not just that "Slumdog" won eight Oscars (which puts it on a par with "Gone With the Wind" and "On The Waterfront," and ahead of "Schindler's List" and "Lawrence of Arabia") but that it was even a runner in the race at all. Remember - this is a low-budget, no-star film that almost went to DVD following the collapse of Warner Independent Pictures (which like CNN is owned by a unit of Time Warner) before it was rescued last summer by Fox Searchlight. If "Curious," "Slumdog's" closest rival with 13 nominations, had won more awards then it would remind Oscar-watchers of the success of "Forrest Gump." Films like "Milk," "Frost/Nixon" and "The Reader" also have their own Oscar-nominated antecedents. But "Slumdog" is reminiscent of nothing else that has been this popular in recent Oscars history. Sometimes the best shocks also hint at a seachange. What do you think about this year's Oscar winners? Tell us your thoughts. Posted by: CNN digital producer, Nick Hunt |
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